CS Soapbox: Does Joaquin Phoenix's golden globe win make him the Oscar winner?
The Golden Globe put a smile on your face Joker fans? After winning a surprising amount of nominations in major categories including Best Picture (Drama) and Best Director (Todd Phillips), Joker danced at home with two statues – Hildur Guðnadóttir's scary soundtrack and Joaquin Phoenix's incredible performance as the Clown Prince of Crime, the last of which beat the alleged pioneer Adam Driver in turn in Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Marriage Story.
And with good reason.
Driver is amazing in Marriage Story, but Phoenix got into God mode in Joker, a movie that he had no good doing or that has earned $ 1,066,685,454 at the box office so far. No, Phillips's psychological criminal drama doesn't outweigh the likes of Irish or Once upon a time in Hollywood, at least in my manual, but the mere fact that Hollywood Foreign Press ranks Joker among its prestigious photos is reason enough for lovers of movies. everywhere to scream in a collective chord, thank you, Hollywood Foreign Press, for continuing to recognize comic books!
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So what does Phoenix's win mean to your odds at the Oscars? Well, to put it mildly, he can get what he deserves (email protected) *! For the past seven years, every actor who won the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie Drama has won the grand prize a month later. Here is the list:
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the sea
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyer Club
Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
More statistics: In the 11 years preceding the list above, the best Golden Globe drama category has predicted the Oscar winner six times. So the story is definitely on Phoenix's side.
Of course, the driver won't go away. Nor did Taron Egerton, who won the Globe for Best Actor in Comedy or Musical for his excellent role as Elton John in Rocketman, however, the Academy may want to mix things up after Malek's victory in a similar musical / biographical role last year. . Also don't count Eddie Murphy (Dolemite Is My Name) or the underdog (and Globe contempt) Adam Sandler (Uncut Gems).
To make a long story short, Phoenix definitely increased his Oscar chances with the win and could put some distance between him and the competition if he won the big prize at the Screen Actors Guild Awards and Critics' Choice Awards in the coming weeks. Though he probably shouldn't start practicing his big speech yet. (Or maybe he should, because the Globes speech was … eh … interesting.)
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In any case, the mere fact that a comic book about Batman's greatest enemy has received such acclaim is reason enough to dance in his underwear. Obviously, this reference was made possible by Batgirl's own film The Dark Knight in Christopher Nolan in 2008, a film that was almost scorned at the Oscars, except for a posthumous statue of Supporting Actor for Heath Ledger (as, coincidentally). , the Joker) and a Sound Editing award. This movie deserved much, much more, but the Academy was not yet comfortable rating a movie about a bat-clad man among esteemed photos like Slumdog Millionaire, The Curious Case. by Benjamin Button, Frost / Nixon, Milk and The Reader. Seriously, when was the last time you watched any of these movies?
James Mangold's Logan and Ryan Coogler's Black Panther have advanced the chains with Adapted Screenplay and Best Picture nominations for the past two years, respectively, but none have had a chance to win, with their own pat-like nominations. Uncle gives you back to bring you the beer without spilling it all over the floor. (Note: neither Nolan nor Coogler received a director nomination, which shows how much the Academy really appreciated their efforts.)
A Joker victory at the Oscars could break down this strange barrier that separates comic books and Academy voters. God willing, this event could also lead to an author-directed superhero fare in the future. In this case, Martin Scorsese must clear his agenda for the penguin's origin story he is dying to make.